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Day: October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

RT – Breaking News, Russia News, World News and Video

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

RT is the first Russian 24/7 English-language news channel which brings the Russian view on global news.

Russia and Ukraine

RT – Breaking News, Russia News, World News and Video

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

RT is the first Russian 24/7 English-language news channel which brings the Russian view on global news.

Russia and Ukraine

10 Best Money Market Accounts For June 2025: Up To 4.42%

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

Money market accounts (MMAs) combine the earning power of a savings account with the convenience of a checking account. To determine the best money market accounts, we reviewed more than 140 MMAs …

Russia and Ukraine

@mikenov: x.com/mikenov/status… October 7 #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Trump #TrumpNews #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers The News And Times Review…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

https://t.co/47EnxVnY2p
October 7 #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Trump #TrumpNews #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers
The News And Times Review…

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) October 9, 2024

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: x.com/mikenov/status… October 7 #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Trump #TrumpNews #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers The News And Times Review…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

https://t.co/47EnxVnY2p
October 7 #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Trump #TrumpNews #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers
The News And Times Review…

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) October 9, 2024

Putin and Putinism

Talk of Ukraine Concessions May Embolden Putin – Bloomberg

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

Talk of Ukraine Concessions May Embolden Putin Bloomberg

Russia and Ukraine

Белоусов вручил звёзды Героев России участникам СВО – Россия || Интерфакс Россия

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

Министр обороны РФ Андрей Белоусов вручил высшие государственные награды – медаль “Золотая Звезда” – российским военнослужащим, проявившим мужество и героизм пр… читать далее на Interfax-Russia.ru

Russia and Ukraine

@mikenov: The October 7 Attack thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2024/10/the-oc…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

The October 7 Attack https://t.co/OzJTB2Swyr pic.twitter.com/evOmv23MX5

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) October 9, 2024

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: The October 7 Attack thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2024/10/the-oc…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

The October 7 Attack https://t.co/OzJTB2Swyr pic.twitter.com/evOmv23MX5

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@GlasnostGone: President Zelensky has arrived in Dubrovnik, Croatia to meet with Prime Minister @AndrejPlenkovic & other countries representatives – to participate in the third Ukraine–South East Europe Summit.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

President Zelensky has arrived in Dubrovnik, Croatia to meet with Prime Minister @AndrejPlenkovic & other countries representatives – to participate in the third Ukraine–South East Europe Summit. https://t.co/BuiokowaqL pic.twitter.com/K6wwvyS0Zx

— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) October 9, 2024

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…