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Day: November 28, 2024

RudySerafi47652: @Heroiam_Slava For every Russian soldier killed there are 5 Ukraine soldiers killed. If u care for the Ukraine people. U would want the war to end . But zelensky wants it to keep on going because he is getting rich by selling the weapons to the Mexican carteles

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

For every Russian soldier killed there are 5 Ukraine soldiers killed. If u care for the Ukraine people. U would want the war to end . But zelensky wants it to keep on going because he is getting rich by selling the weapons to the Mexican carteles

— Rudy Serafin (@RudySerafi47652) November 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

RudySerafi47652: @Heroiam_Slava For every Russian soldier killed there are 5 Ukraine soldiers killed. If u care for the Ukraine people. U would want the war to end . But zelensky wants it to keep on going because he is getting rich by selling the weapons to the Mexican carteles

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

For every Russian soldier killed there are 5 Ukraine soldiers killed. If u care for the Ukraine people. U would want the war to end . But zelensky wants it to keep on going because he is getting rich by selling the weapons to the Mexican carteles

— Rudy Serafin (@RudySerafi47652) November 28, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

Evoclique_: 🇪🇺🇷🇺🇺🇦EU Calls for Increased Support for #Ukraine Didier Reynders, #EU Commissioner for Justice, urges more assistance for Ukraine, citing #Russia’s wartime economy and support from North Korea, Iran, and #China. Ukraine needs more air defense, ammo, and long-range weapons. https://t.co/FTaApoQ3N1

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

🇪🇺🇷🇺🇺🇦EU Calls for Increased Support for #Ukraine

Didier Reynders, #EU Commissioner for Justice, urges more assistance for Ukraine, citing #Russia‘s wartime economy and support from North Korea, Iran, and #China. Ukraine needs more air defense, ammo, and long-range weapons. pic.twitter.com/FTaApoQ3N1

— Evoclique (@Evoclique_) November 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

Evoclique_: 🇪🇺🇷🇺🇺🇦EU Calls for Increased Support for #Ukraine Didier Reynders, #EU Commissioner for Justice, urges more assistance for Ukraine, citing #Russia’s wartime economy and support from North Korea, Iran, and #China. Ukraine needs more air defense, ammo, and long-range weapons. https://t.co/FTaApoQ3N1

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

🇪🇺🇷🇺🇺🇦EU Calls for Increased Support for #Ukraine

Didier Reynders, #EU Commissioner for Justice, urges more assistance for Ukraine, citing #Russia‘s wartime economy and support from North Korea, Iran, and #China. Ukraine needs more air defense, ammo, and long-range weapons. pic.twitter.com/FTaApoQ3N1

— Evoclique (@Evoclique_) November 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: BREAKING: Around 10 Tu-95 strategic bombers have fired cruise missiles against cities across Ukraine, mainly targeting energy and water infrastructure. The cruise missiles can be seen flying in Ukrainian airspace, heading for targets hundreds of kilometers further west. https://t.co/retcx7mvYg

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

BREAKING:

Around 10 Tu-95 strategic bombers have fired cruise missiles against cities across Ukraine, mainly targeting energy and water infrastructure.

The cruise missiles can be seen flying in Ukrainian airspace, heading for targets hundreds of kilometers further west. pic.twitter.com/retcx7mvYg

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) November 28, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

am1_news: https://t.co/VwZtnFRFqm The Biden administration is preparing a $725 million military aid package for Ukraine, which includes anti-tank weapons, landmines, and cluster munitions. This move comes as Ukraine faces ongoing challenges from Russia’s invasion, which has now surpassed

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

https://t.co/VwZtnFRFqm
The Biden administration is preparing a $725 million military aid package for Ukraine, which includes anti-tank weapons, landmines, and cluster munitions. This move comes as Ukraine faces ongoing challenges from Russia’s invasion, which has now surpassed…

— The America One News (@am1_news) November 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

am1_news: https://t.co/VwZtnFRFqm The Biden administration is preparing a $725 million military aid package for Ukraine, which includes anti-tank weapons, landmines, and cluster munitions. This move comes as Ukraine faces ongoing challenges from Russia’s invasion, which has now surpassed

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

https://t.co/VwZtnFRFqm
The Biden administration is preparing a $725 million military aid package for Ukraine, which includes anti-tank weapons, landmines, and cluster munitions. This move comes as Ukraine faces ongoing challenges from Russia’s invasion, which has now surpassed…

— The America One News (@am1_news) November 28, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

FAB87F: US readies $725 million arms package for Ukraine https://t.co/k2DsKn7Uzo US President Joe Biden’s administration is preparing a $725 million weapons package for Ukraine, Reuters reported on 28 November. Two US officials revealed that the package aims to support the Ukrainian …

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

US readies $725 million arms package for Ukraine https://t.co/k2DsKn7Uzo

US President Joe Biden’s administration is preparing a $725 million weapons package for Ukraine, Reuters reported on 28 November. Two US officials revealed that the package aims to support the Ukrainian …

— GMan (Ґленн) ☘️🇬🇧🇺🇦🇺🇸🇵🇱🇮🇱🍊🌻 (@FAB87F) November 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

FAB87F: US readies $725 million arms package for Ukraine https://t.co/k2DsKn7Uzo US President Joe Biden’s administration is preparing a $725 million weapons package for Ukraine, Reuters reported on 28 November. Two US officials revealed that the package aims to support the Ukrainian …

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

US readies $725 million arms package for Ukraine https://t.co/k2DsKn7Uzo

US President Joe Biden’s administration is preparing a $725 million weapons package for Ukraine, Reuters reported on 28 November. Two US officials revealed that the package aims to support the Ukrainian …

— GMan (Ґленн) ☘️🇬🇧🇺🇦🇺🇸🇵🇱🇮🇱🍊🌻 (@FAB87F) November 28, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

Ogaal_Tv: President Biden is preparing a $725 million military aid package for Ukraine, including anti-tank weapons, drones, Stinger missiles, and cluster munitions. This move, part of continued U.S. support amidst Russia’s ongoing offensive, comes ahead of the potential transition to a

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 28, 2024

President Biden is preparing a $725 million military aid package for Ukraine, including anti-tank weapons, drones, Stinger missiles, and cluster munitions. This move, part of continued U.S. support amidst Russia’s ongoing offensive, comes ahead of the potential transition to a…

— OGAAL TV (@Ogaal_Tv) November 28, 2024

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…