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Day: December 27, 2024

@Kaito_KaiNi THIS is why when people demand the US give Ukraine cutting-edge weapons, I consistently say “No, legacy systems are better for them”

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

THIS is why when people demand the US give Ukraine cutting-edge weapons, I consistently say “No, legacy systems are better for them”

— RC Nott – identity politics are poison 🇺🇲🇺🇦⚛ (@RobertCNott) December 28, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

@BidOnCapital @ksolhoj @WarMonitorClips …so you admit Trump’s plan in Afghanistan was to leave the weapons we gave to the Afghan Army for the Taliban? No further Ukraine funding is on the docket outside what has already been approved. And Trump has stated he is going to end the war by INCREASING funding.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

…so you admit Trump’s plan in Afghanistan was to leave the weapons we gave to the Afghan Army for the Taliban?

No further Ukraine funding is on the docket outside what has already been approved. And Trump has stated he is going to end the war by INCREASING funding.

— Deevoe (@Deevoee) December 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@BidOnCapital @ksolhoj @WarMonitorClips …so you admit Trump’s plan in Afghanistan was to leave the weapons we gave to the Afghan Army for the Taliban? No further Ukraine funding is on the docket outside what has already been approved. And Trump has stated he is going to end the war by INCREASING funding.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

…so you admit Trump’s plan in Afghanistan was to leave the weapons we gave to the Afghan Army for the Taliban?

No further Ukraine funding is on the docket outside what has already been approved. And Trump has stated he is going to end the war by INCREASING funding.

— Deevoe (@Deevoee) December 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

Another bomb exploded in Malmo, Sweden last night. It started a fire and the man living there had to jump out of the apartment, falling 3 floors. A relative of his is involved in a gang war, making him a target for the rival gang. https://t.co/UTNjm4Q35b

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

Another bomb exploded in Malmo, Sweden last night.

It started a fire and the man living there had to jump out of the apartment, falling 3 floors.

A relative of his is involved in a gang war, making him a target for the rival gang. pic.twitter.com/UTNjm4Q35b

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) December 28, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

@fufufnyk0 @PopovaProf @OxanaShevel Ukraine has lost. Despite all the weapons. If it continues; its gonna be undeniable that NATO and the ‘West’ are militarily inferior. It’s time for the realists to take over, and negotiate whatever peace can be obtained. Because the alternative is a more resounding defeat.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

Ukraine has lost. Despite all the weapons. If it continues; its gonna be undeniable that NATO and the ‘West’ are militarily inferior.

It’s time for the realists to take over, and negotiate whatever peace can be obtained.

Because the alternative is a more resounding defeat.

— Robin Bremner (@bremner_robin) December 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@fufufnyk0 @PopovaProf @OxanaShevel Ukraine has lost. Despite all the weapons. If it continues; its gonna be undeniable that NATO and the ‘West’ are militarily inferior. It’s time for the realists to take over, and negotiate whatever peace can be obtained. Because the alternative is a more resounding defeat.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

Ukraine has lost. Despite all the weapons. If it continues; its gonna be undeniable that NATO and the ‘West’ are militarily inferior.

It’s time for the realists to take over, and negotiate whatever peace can be obtained.

Because the alternative is a more resounding defeat.

— Robin Bremner (@bremner_robin) December 28, 2024

Trump and Russia

, Russia may have misidentified Azerbaijan airliner as Ukrainian attack drone, US official says

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

Weapons and air defense: White House preparing new military aid package for Ukraine https://t.co/P6cxL0stIq

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

Weapons and air defense: White House preparing new military aid package for Ukraine https://t.co/P6cxL0stIq

— Kelly Barnes (@KellyBa24572123) December 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

China just approved the construction of the largest infrastructure project ever. A huge hydropower dam will be built on the Yarlung River in Tibet for $140 billion. It will produce 3-5 times more electricity than the 3 Gorges Dam & will cover the energy needs for 300M ppl https://t.co/i2HCWyUxMV

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

China just approved the construction of the largest infrastructure project ever.

A huge hydropower dam will be built on the Yarlung River in Tibet for $140 billion.

It will produce 3-5 times more electricity than the 3 Gorges Dam & will cover the energy needs for 300M ppl pic.twitter.com/i2HCWyUxMV

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) December 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

Nikolo Tesla or Elon Musk?

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 27, 2024

Nikolo Tesla or Elon Musk?

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) December 28, 2024

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…