The Russian World - russianworld.net - The News And Times

Month: May 2024

@shashj: RT by @mikenov: “We assess the risk of state-controlled acts of sabotage to be significantly increased” said Thomas Haldenwang, head of German domestic intelligence. Russia now seems comfortable carrying out operations on European soil “[with] a high potential for damage” ft.com/content/c88509…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

“We assess the risk of state-controlled acts of sabotage to be significantly increased” said Thomas Haldenwang, head of German domestic intelligence. Russia now seems comfortable carrying out operations on European soil “[with] a high potential for damage” https://t.co/w2nKOb1ZF8

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) May 5, 2024

Putin and Putinism

What do you consider to be the best overall Scorpion design?

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

I know MKX scorpion was belt boy but he just looked so fucking dope, maybe I’m just more partial towards X probably my favorite MK game it really felt like the dawn of a new era

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@Sandbagger_01: RT by @mikenov: Germany faces ‘almost daily’ spy plots sparked by far-Right ties with rogue states telegraph.co.uk/world-news/202…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

Germany faces ‘almost daily’ spy plots sparked by far-Right ties with rogue states https://t.co/XKEJEGnW75

— Dr. Dan Lomas (@Sandbagger_01) May 5, 2024

Putin and Putinism

[UK] This or that? – Time Magazine’s All-Time 100 Novels : r …

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

The Time Machine – 84 The Great Gatsby – 100 The Wizard of Oz – 112 A Tale of Two Cities – 112 The Three Musketeers – 112 (Bing result but this is wrong) Paradise Lost – 146 Moby-Dick – 178 The Sun Also Rises – 189 The Metamorphosis – 192 Through the Looking Glass – 208 Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep – 210 The Catcher in the Rye – 234

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: Is this the sign, the opening salvo, that Dyumin #Dyumin already plans the Spetsnaz raid on Ukraine? x.com/dw_russian/sta…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

Is this the sign, the opening salvo, that Dyumin #Dyumin already plans the Spetsnaz raid on Ukraine? https://t.co/THITkPIuez pic.twitter.com/PMjpZ0zIrZ

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) May 4, 2024

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: x.com/mikenov/status… #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers newsandtimes.org thenewsandtimes.com…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

https://t.co/v3EAqRLMt9 #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers https://t.co/O0SIgLVWzM https://t.co/DO5LG3PY4T… pic.twitter.com/nTpowb04Iu

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) May 4, 2024

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: x.com/mikenov/status… #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers newsandtimes.org thenewsandtimes.com…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

https://t.co/v3EAqRLMt9 #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers https://t.co/O0SIgLVWzM https://t.co/DO5LG3PY4T…

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) May 4, 2024

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: Is this the sign, the opening salvo, that Dumin #Dumin already plans the Spetsnaz raid on Ukraine? x.com/dw_russian/sta…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

Is this the sign, the opening salvo, that Dumin #Dumin already plans the Spetsnaz raid on Ukraine?https://t.co/THITkPIuez

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) May 4, 2024

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: Henry Cuellar took nearly $600,000 in bribes – CNN cnn.com/2024/05/03/pol… – #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

Henry Cuellar took nearly $600,000 in bribes – CNN https://t.co/OtVM89FbBi – #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers…

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) May 4, 2024

Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: RT @mikenov: #Shoigu #Dyumin Shoigu and Dyumin – Google Search https://t.co/SYU4aXg5TK https://t.co/pZnkm5mEfu

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date May 5, 2024

#Shoigu #Dyumin

Shoigu and Dyumin – Google Search https://t.co/SYU4aXg5TK pic.twitter.com/pZnkm5mEfu

— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) April 11, 2023

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…