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Day: October 9, 2024

North Korean troops in Ukraine? Really?

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

North Korean troops have long demonstrated excellent goose-stepping skills at large-scale parades, but none have ever experienced combat.

Russia and Ukraine

@KyivIndependent: European Union countries have approved an unprecedented plan to issue a 35-billion-euro ($37.2 billion) loan to support Ukraine’s war-torn economy, using Russia’s immobilized Central Bank assets as collateral. kyivindependent.com/eu-approves-35…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

European Union countries have approved an unprecedented plan to issue a 35-billion-euro ($37.2 billion) loan to support Ukraine’s war-torn economy, using Russia’s immobilized Central Bank assets as collateral.https://t.co/K6syEwlOar

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: 400 Russian Shahed suicide drones exploding after a Ukrainian Neptun cruise missile struck a storage facility in the Krasnodar region of Russia. The local Russians filming it realized after a moment that would probably be a good idea to take a step back

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

400 Russian Shahed suicide drones exploding after a Ukrainian Neptun cruise missile struck a storage facility in the Krasnodar region of Russia.

The local Russians filming it realized after a moment that would probably be a good idea to take a step back pic.twitter.com/gMJwrK2cQ3

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

EU approves 35-billion-euro loan for Ukraine using frozen Russian assets

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

European Union countries have approved an unprecedented plan to issue a 35-billion-euro ($37.2 billion) loan to support Ukraine’s war-torn economy, using Russia’s immobilized Central Bank assets as collateral.

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: Chaos on the streets of Buenos Aires as socialists protest against President Javier Milei and his supporters. This video shows them attacking the famous libertarian YouTuber and Milei supporter @FranFijap 🇦🇷

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

Chaos on the streets of Buenos Aires as socialists protest against President Javier Milei and his supporters.

This video shows them attacking the famous libertarian YouTuber and Milei supporter @FranFijap

🇦🇷 pic.twitter.com/Uw9fEUQINF

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@GlasnostGone: @tero_kaunisto Goodnight Tero and well said.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

Goodnight Tero and well said.

— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: Argentinian socialists have taken to the streets to protest against President Javier Milei and his supporters. One of the protesters was very frank when speaking to the media: “We are going to give it to the libertarians. WE ARE GOING TO KILL THEM ALL”

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

Argentinian socialists have taken to the streets to protest against President Javier Milei and his supporters.

One of the protesters was very frank when speaking to the media:

“We are going to give it to the libertarians. WE ARE GOING TO KILL THEM ALL” pic.twitter.com/I1FggSV2Ij

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: First it was the climate change activists that attacked one-of-a-kind pieces of art but now the anti-Israel protesters have started doing it too. These young British women just attacked a Picasso painting to “Free Palestine”

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

First it was the climate change activists that attacked one-of-a-kind pieces of art but now the anti-Israel protesters have started doing it too.

These young British women just attacked a Picasso painting to “Free Palestine” pic.twitter.com/bkQDOv5WL4

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: BREAKING: Ukraine used one of its domestic Neptune cruise missiles to strike a storage facility for Shahed suicide drones Russia has received from the Islamic Regime in Iran. The facility was located in the Krasnodar region of Russia. Around 400 suicide drones were destroyed.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

BREAKING:

Ukraine used one of its domestic Neptune cruise missiles to strike a storage facility for Shahed suicide drones Russia has received from the Islamic Regime in Iran.

The facility was located in the Krasnodar region of Russia.

Around 400 suicide drones were destroyed. pic.twitter.com/1IozjUY33F

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 9, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

Russia casualties reach 600,000 during war in Ukraine, Pentagon says – Defense News

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date October 9, 2024

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…