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Day: December 10, 2024

anno1540: 9/ He noted that Ukraine is grateful to its partners in the US, UK and France for the important political decision to support the use of long-range weapons to strike at the military facilities of the aggressor country. He also added that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will >>

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

9/
He noted that Ukraine is grateful to its partners in the US, UK and France for the important political decision to support the use of long-range weapons to strike at the military facilities of the aggressor country. He also added that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will >>

— Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22 (@anno1540) December 10, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

KM_Klapper: @DylanTweetin @Brian9665781821 @atrupar U r still on this tired idiocy about genocide. U have just seen the fall of Assad, who used chemical weapons against his own people incl kids that killed 200,000+ & millions of refugees, and not an f’n peep. Ukraine, many hundreds of K dead?? Silence! There is a word for u…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

U r still on this tired idiocy about genocide. U have just seen the fall of Assad, who used chemical weapons against his own people incl kids that killed 200,000+ & millions of refugees, and not an f’n peep. Ukraine, many hundreds of K dead?? Silence! There is a word for u…

— Want Better Choices (@KM_Klapper) December 10, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

KM_Klapper: @DylanTweetin @Brian9665781821 @atrupar U r still on this tired idiocy about genocide. U have just seen the fall of Assad, who used chemical weapons against his own people incl kids that killed 200,000+ & millions of refugees, and not an f’n peep. Ukraine, many hundreds of K dead?? Silence! There is a word for u…

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

U r still on this tired idiocy about genocide. U have just seen the fall of Assad, who used chemical weapons against his own people incl kids that killed 200,000+ & millions of refugees, and not an f’n peep. Ukraine, many hundreds of K dead?? Silence! There is a word for u…

— Want Better Choices (@KM_Klapper) December 10, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

front_ukrainian: ⚡️🇷🇺Rusnya is hastily fleeing Syria, taking away the remnants of troops, weapons and equipment – a whole caravan of aircraft and the fleet was used for this According to the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of 🇺🇦Ukraine, from the Khmeimim air base, An-124 https://t.co/76E6ffAreq

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

⚡️🇷🇺Rusnya is hastily fleeing Syria, taking away the remnants of troops, weapons and equipment – a whole caravan of aircraft and the fleet was used for this

According to the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of 🇺🇦Ukraine, from the Khmeimim air base, An-124… pic.twitter.com/76E6ffAreq

— 🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦 (@front_ukrainian) December 10, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

front_ukrainian: ⚡️🇷🇺Rusnya is hastily fleeing Syria, taking away the remnants of troops, weapons and equipment – a whole caravan of aircraft and the fleet was used for this According to the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of 🇺🇦Ukraine, from the Khmeimim air base, An-124 https://t.co/76E6ffAreq

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

⚡️🇷🇺Rusnya is hastily fleeing Syria, taking away the remnants of troops, weapons and equipment – a whole caravan of aircraft and the fleet was used for this

According to the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of 🇺🇦Ukraine, from the Khmeimim air base, An-124… pic.twitter.com/76E6ffAreq

— 🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦 (@front_ukrainian) December 10, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

UaNews_online: Zelensky Says No to Drafting 18-Year-Olds, Calls on US for More Weapons https://t.co/JEhVe4orsI

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

Zelensky Says No to Drafting 18-Year-Olds, Calls on US for More Weapons https://t.co/JEhVe4orsI

— Ukraine News🇺🇦 (@UaNews_online) December 10, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

UaNews_online: Zelensky Says No to Drafting 18-Year-Olds, Calls on US for More Weapons https://t.co/JEhVe4orsI

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

Zelensky Says No to Drafting 18-Year-Olds, Calls on US for More Weapons https://t.co/JEhVe4orsI

— Ukraine News🇺🇦 (@UaNews_online) December 10, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@GlasnostGone: In an unconvincing effort to highlight Ukrainian drone attacks, Russian troops are deploying ‘traffic lights’ on the frontline. Green: No threat. Yellow: Threat is distant. Red: Serious threat. And while you’re waiting for the light to turn green, you get killed by a drone. https://t.co/YD6rRNsg39

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

In an unconvincing effort to highlight Ukrainian drone attacks, Russian troops are deploying ‘traffic lights’ on the frontline. Green: No threat. Yellow: Threat is distant. Red: Serious threat. And while you’re waiting for the light to turn green, you get killed by a drone.… pic.twitter.com/YD6rRNsg39

— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) December 10, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

EWaearr: @joni_askola The majority of its military stockpiles are post Soviet Union. It was Ukraine that had Soviet area military weapons & equipment. That is gone. It has to keep begging the US, NATO & EU for military weapons & supplies. Russia doesn’t.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

The majority of its military stockpiles are post Soviet Union. It was Ukraine that had Soviet area military weapons & equipment. That is gone. It has to keep begging the US, NATO & EU for military weapons & supplies. Russia doesn’t.

— E L Walker (@EWaearr) December 10, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

EWaearr: @joni_askola The majority of its military stockpiles are post Soviet Union. It was Ukraine that had Soviet area military weapons & equipment. That is gone. It has to keep begging the US, NATO & EU for military weapons & supplies. Russia doesn’t.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 10, 2024

The majority of its military stockpiles are post Soviet Union. It was Ukraine that had Soviet area military weapons & equipment. That is gone. It has to keep begging the US, NATO & EU for military weapons & supplies. Russia doesn’t.

— E L Walker (@EWaearr) December 10, 2024

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…