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Day: December 11, 2024

@DefenceU: In the 11 months of 2024, the Ministry of Defense delivered over 1.2 million drones to the Defense Forces: 🔸 40,000 reconnaissance multirotor drones, including 12,000+ night-vision drones 🔸 5,000 reconnaissance fixed-wing UAVs (Shark, HOR, Furia, etc.) 🔸 6,000 deep-strike… pic.twitter.com/MLjruEOBvd

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

In the 11 months of 2024, the Ministry of Defense delivered over 1.2 million drones to the Defense Forces:
🔸 40,000 reconnaissance multirotor drones, including 12,000+ night-vision drones
🔸 5,000 reconnaissance fixed-wing UAVs (Shark, HOR, Furia, etc.)
🔸 6,000 deep-strike… pic.twitter.com/MLjruEOBvd

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 11, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

Ukraine says aerial attack sparks fire at key Russian oil depot

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Local governor says fire extinguished after Ukraine claims attack on site that fuels pipeline for military supplies.

Putin and Putinism

Hungary’s Orban calls Putin to discuss Ukraine, Syria, claims Kremlin. – Kyiv Independent

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Hungary’s Orban calls Putin to discuss Ukraine, Syria, claims Kremlin. Kyiv Independent

Russia and Ukraine

@KyivIndependent: ⚡️ Hungary’s Orban calls Putin to discuss Ukraine, claims Kremlin. Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed the war in Ukraine in a phone call initiated by Budapest, the Kremlin claimed on Dec. 11. https://t.co/HdaYLgOE7D

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

⚡️ Hungary’s Orban calls Putin to discuss Ukraine, claims Kremlin.

Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed the war in Ukraine in a phone call initiated by Budapest, the Kremlin claimed on Dec. 11.https://t.co/HdaYLgOE7D

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) December 11, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

Soton7684: @rtenews His legacy: Disastrous chaotic withdrawal in Afghanistan, leaving billions of dollars of weapons for the Taliban & other ememies of the West; his weakness enabling Russia to go to war with Ukraine & Iran to further nuclear weapon development. Finally pardoning Hunter’s crimes.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

His legacy: Disastrous chaotic withdrawal in Afghanistan, leaving billions of dollars of weapons for the Taliban & other ememies of the West; his weakness enabling Russia to go to war with Ukraine & Iran to further nuclear weapon development. Finally pardoning Hunter’s crimes.

— DoctorKudos (@Soton7684) December 11, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: https://t.co/bJwtcceS9b

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

pic.twitter.com/bJwtcceS9b

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) December 11, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

MyDeathRay: @johnrich Are you suggesting the people there are given old Bradley IFV’s and other retired US Army hardware? How will that help them? The money ‘given’ to Ukraine pays for new weapons for the US Army, so it boosts jobs there. You’re just repeating russian talking points, Ivan https://t.co/VfK5yOQCdz

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Are you suggesting the people there are given old Bradley IFV’s and other retired US Army hardware?
How will that help them?
The money ‘given’ to Ukraine pays for new weapons for the US Army, so it boosts jobs there.
You’re just repeating russian talking points, Ivan pic.twitter.com/VfK5yOQCdz

— Grindell Matthews Fella🇺🇦🇬🇧 #NAFO (@MyDeathRay) December 11, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@GlasnostGone: Overnight Russian authorities said the Azov Sea coastal city of Taganrog come under Ukrainian missile attack. They report an industrial facility was struck. Ukraine likely targeted the large military airfield or the plane repair facility – which also has a small runway.… pic.twitter.com/JBpt4mNLfS

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Overnight Russian authorities said the Azov Sea coastal city of Taganrog come under Ukrainian missile attack. They report an industrial facility was struck. Ukraine likely targeted the large military airfield or the plane repair facility – which also has a small runway.… pic.twitter.com/JBpt4mNLfS

— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) December 11, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@MoscowTimes: Rescuers are working to find people under the rubble of a building destroyed in a Russian attack on Tuesday that killed eight people, Ukrainian officials said. https://t.co/1AYEw10vSa

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Rescuers are working to find people under the rubble of a building destroyed in a Russian attack on Tuesday that killed eight people, Ukrainian officials said.https://t.co/1AYEw10vSa

— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) December 11, 2024

Syrian Civil War

Syria live updates: Iran’s Khamenei blames US, Israel for Assad regime collapse – ABC News

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Syria live updates: Iran’s Khamenei blames US, Israel for Assad regime collapse ABC News

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…