The Russian World - russianworld.net - The News And Times

Day: December 11, 2024

Ceparius1: @paulaerizanu This is the right man for Romania . Please vote for him. Defeat pro-Eu, pro-Nato, etc etc who only want to reduce your beautiful Country in the same condition as Ukraine’s, to send your youth to die in a war against Russia and to turn Romania into a megadeposit of atomic weapons. https://t.co/ChWlAHJaIU

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

This is the right man for Romania . Please vote for him. Defeat pro-Eu, pro-Nato, etc etc who only want to reduce your beautiful Country in the same condition as Ukraine’s, to send your youth to die in a war against Russia and to turn Romania into a megadeposit of atomic weapons. pic.twitter.com/ChWlAHJaIU

— Giuseppe Dosi (@Ceparius1) December 11, 2024

Trump and Russia

Trump Transition Coverage

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

MSNBC breaks down Donald Trump appointing Harmeet Dhillon to run the civil rights division at the Department of Justice. Plus, MSNBC discusses how the focus …

Russia and Ukraine

@GlasnostGone: Corrupt Dictator Update: We’ve all seen Assad’s opulent palaces in #Syria – constructed from corruption. Well here’s Viktor Orban’s lavish lifestyle in Hungary. Huge great palaces built outside the capital Budapest – and no one knows how they were paid for. https://t.co/BrlNXJMZQI

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Corrupt Dictator Update: We’ve all seen Assad’s opulent palaces in #Syria – constructed from corruption. Well here’s Viktor Orban’s lavish lifestyle in Hungary. Huge great palaces built outside the capital Budapest – and no one knows how they were paid for. https://t.co/BrlNXJMZQI

— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) December 11, 2024

Trump and Russia

Syria latest: Turkey and Israel mobilise to secure Syria border

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

“They want to see a different Syria emerge.”Turkey, along with Israel, wants to establish buffers along their border with Syria, says David Satterfield, form…

Russia and Ukraine

@visegrad24: The new Syrian government announces that they are starting to return Syrian refugees home from the massive camps on the border between Turkey and Syria 🇹🇷🇸🇾 https://t.co/qzlKFVVWf8

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

The new Syrian government announces that they are starting to return Syrian refugees home from the massive camps on the border between Turkey and Syria

🇹🇷🇸🇾 pic.twitter.com/qzlKFVVWf8

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) December 11, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

vd_andrii: @SpaghettiKozak Not like the US abandoned Ukraine in any way. https://t.co/elOeyX1qHk US announces nearly $1 billion more in longer-term weapons support for Ukraine https://t.co/MszApI6TH9

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Not like the US abandoned Ukraine in any way.https://t.co/elOeyX1qHk US announces nearly $1 billion more in longer-term weapons support for Ukrainehttps://t.co/MszApI6TH9

— Andrii Vdovychenko (@vd_andrii) December 11, 2024

Syrian Civil War

Iran’s Khamenei says al-Assad ouster a US-Israel ‘plot’, blames ‘neighbour’ – Al Jazeera English

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Iran’s Khamenei says al-Assad ouster a US-Israel ‘plot’, blames ‘neighbour’ Al Jazeera English

Putin and Putinism

Russia’s Deadly New Missile Makes Nuclear Weapons Redundant, Putin Says – Newsweek

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

Russia’s Deadly New Missile Makes Nuclear Weapons Redundant, Putin Says Newsweek

Russia and Ukraine

cepell9: After the US stole nuclear weapons from Ukraine in 1994 in exchange for security and protection guarantees, Ukraine has had to literally destroy the russians on its territory with its bare hands. Cool numbers,considering Ukraine have to fight alone against the axis of evil. https://t.co/ftHvrWCOPF

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

After the US stole nuclear weapons from Ukraine in 1994 in exchange for security and protection guarantees, Ukraine has had to literally destroy the russians on its territory with its bare hands.
Cool numbers,considering Ukraine have to fight alone against the axis of evil. pic.twitter.com/ftHvrWCOPF

— Budapest Memorandum (@cepell9) December 11, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

cepell9: After the US stole nuclear weapons from Ukraine in 1994 in exchange for security and protection guarantees, Ukraine has had to literally destroy the russians on its territory with its bare hands. Cool numbers,considering Ukraine have to fight alone against the axis of evil. https://t.co/ftHvrWCOPF

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 11, 2024

After the US stole nuclear weapons from Ukraine in 1994 in exchange for security and protection guarantees, Ukraine has had to literally destroy the russians on its territory with its bare hands.
Cool numbers,considering Ukraine have to fight alone against the axis of evil. pic.twitter.com/ftHvrWCOPF

— Budapest Memorandum (@cepell9) December 11, 2024

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…