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Day: December 22, 2024

Ukraine has become a lucrative opportunity for Western arms manufacturers, who profit from weapons supplies that prolong the conflict, Russia’s UN Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia has claimed. Speaking at a United Nations Security Council briefing on Friday,

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

Ukraine has become a lucrative opportunity for Western arms manufacturers, who profit from weapons supplies that prolong the conflict, Russia’s UN Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia has claimed.

Speaking at a United Nations Security Council briefing on Friday,

— alex00123 (@lexbio) December 22, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

@TrumpDailyPolls Shut up. We owe Ukraine as much for taking their nuclear weapons.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

Shut up. We owe Ukraine as much for taking their nuclear weapons.

— Gazzy64 (@gazzy64) December 22, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

@JosephLMcCord @wartranslated Without Ukraine you wouldn’t be able to sell any of your old weapons and all will be wasted. all money for military help for Ukraine stay in USA and go to defense sector to sell old weapons.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

Without Ukraine you wouldn’t be able to sell any of your old weapons and all will be wasted. all money for military help for Ukraine stay in USA and go to defense sector to sell old weapons.

— Pax Orion 🇺🇦 (@IgorMar90239348) December 22, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

@ReallyAmerican1 It’s not a “boss move” at all. It just shows that he has zero diplomacy skills and is a very, very ordinary little man. He should be asked why so many weapons destined for UKraine are turning up in Africa…..

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

It’s not a “boss move” at all. It just shows that he has zero diplomacy skills and is a very, very ordinary little man. He should be asked why so many weapons destined for UKraine are turning up in Africa…..

— josilvey (@josilvey1) December 22, 2024

Russia and Ukraine

@ReallyAmerican1 It’s not a “boss move” at all. It just shows that he has zero diplomacy skills and is a very, very ordinary little man. He should be asked why so many weapons destined for UKraine are turning up in Africa…..

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

It’s not a “boss move” at all. It just shows that he has zero diplomacy skills and is a very, very ordinary little man. He should be asked why so many weapons destined for UKraine are turning up in Africa…..

— josilvey (@josilvey1) December 22, 2024

Weapons for Ukraine

@MyLordBebo Hit by Houthis using Russian-supplied weapons. This is asymmetric war in retaliation for Ukraine using US ATACMS into Russia.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

@MyLordBebo Hit by Houthis using Russian-supplied weapons. This is asymmetric war in retaliation for Ukraine using US ATACMS into Russia.

Russia and Ukraine

@MyLordBebo Hit by Houthis using Russian-supplied weapons. This is asymmetric war in retaliation for Ukraine using US ATACMS into Russia.

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

@MyLordBebo Hit by Houthis using Russian-supplied weapons. This is asymmetric war in retaliation for Ukraine using US ATACMS into Russia.

Russia and Ukraine

Five months on, Ukraine clings to Kursk amid doubts over operation

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

Outnumbered Ukrainian troops are clinging to a section of Russian territory in hopes of using it as a bargaining chip in any future negotiations.

Weapons for Ukraine

@Yashkawitz @RT_com Why the US keep sending weapons to Ukraine, but send weapons to Israel to kill innocent children in Palestine, Ukraine n Russia is family members, all Russia ask for is no NATO expansion, n that is the reason of the smo to get rid of the puppet president

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

Why the US keep sending weapons to Ukraine, but send weapons to Israel to kill innocent children in Palestine, Ukraine n Russia is family members, all Russia ask for is no NATO expansion, n that is the reason of the smo to get rid of the puppet president

— why why (@IanMcIn49533978) December 22, 2024

Syrian Civil War

Turkey will do ‘whatever it takes’ if Syria government cannot address Kurd militia issue – EURACTIV

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date December 22, 2024

Turkey will do ‘whatever it takes’ if Syria government cannot address Kurd militia issue EURACTIV

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
+ 1

Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…