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Category: Trump and Russia

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Trump’s mass deportation plan is ‘so ugly and sick’: Former Sen. Boxer

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

What will a second Trump presidency look like? Democratic strategist Tara Dowdell, former top House GOP aide Brendan Buck and former Sen. Barbara Boxer join …

Trump and Russia

Trump will make Putin negotiate or double aid to Ukraine

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

“You go to Putin and say get yourself to that negotiating table or we’ll double the aid to Ukraine. What could possibly go wrong with that?”Trump will end th…

Trump and Russia

Scoop: Elon Musk joined Trump’s call with Zelensky – Axios

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

Scoop: Elon Musk joined Trump’s call with Zelensky Axios

Trump and Russia

Vladimir Putin Congratulates Donald Trump, Calls him “Courageous” | Vantage With Palki Sharma

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

Vladimir Putin Congratulates Donald Trump, Calls him “Courageous” | Vantage With Palki SharmaRussian President Vladimir Putin has publicly congratulated Don…

Trump and Russia

Racist texts referring to ‘picking cotton’ sent to Black people across US after election

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

Authorities across the United States are investigating after racist text messages – some with references to “slave catchers” and “picking cotton” reminiscent…

Trump and Russia

رییس سابق سیا: ترامپ راه را برای جنگ همه جانبه بین اسرائیل و جمهوری‌اسلامی باز می‌کند

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

لئون پانه‌ تا، رییس سابق سیا: احتمالا دونالد ترامپ یک چک سفید امضا به اسرائیل برای مبارزه با جمهوری‌اسلامی خواهد داد.گفت‌وگو با امید معماریان، روزنامه‌نگار

Trump and Russia

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Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

要解锁恶魔城DLC所有的隐藏角色，首先需要在扮演里希特·贝尔蒙特时到达地图尽头的王座大厅，触发德古拉过场动画，然后德古拉成为可玩角色，触发新战斗。

Trump and Russia

Trump deal will backfire and boost Putin’s struggling war

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

“The harsh reality is that Russia is struggling at the moment. It can’t sustain the war that it’s currently got.”Trump’s pledge to end the war in Ukraine wil…

Trump and Russia

Obama official delivers CRUCIAL election update

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

INTERVIEW: Brian interviews @podsaveamerica’s Jon Favreau about how to fight back against Trump.For more from Brian Tyler Cohen:Order my #1 NYT bestselling b…

Trump and Russia

‘He’s playing coy’: Russia expert explains Putin’s reaction to Trump’s win

Post author By Mike Nova
Post date November 8, 2024

Former CNN Moscow bureau chief Jill Dougherty and Washington Post columnist Max Boot discuss the impact of President-elect Donald Trump’s win on Russia’s war…

Conversations with the Gemini

Podcast by Gemini, Google AI, Michael Novakhov

Russia-NATO Confrontation Risks and Predictions
https://share.gemini.google/FWAMNxrH8C1o
Created with 3.1 Pro August 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Published August 27, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Russia – NATO confrontation: assessments of risk, analysis of the geopolitical motivations, predictions

You are looking for an assessment of the risks, geopolitical motivations, and future predictions surrounding the confrontation between Russia and NATO.

Here is a breakdown of how think tanks and experts evaluate the evolving Russia-NATO confrontation as of mid-2026.

Geopolitical Motivations
Russia’s actions are driven by deep-seated geopolitical and domestic objectives, largely centered on reshaping the European security architecture.

Fracturing the Alliance: According to analysis by the Belfer Center, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s core strategic objective is to fracture the NATO alliance and undermine confidence in its collective defense commitment (Article 5).
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Preventing Political/Economic Expansion: Russia perceives itself as locked in a long-term, existential struggle with NATO, seeking to counter Western political and economic expansion into what it considers its sphere of influence.
CSIS

Exploiting Transatlantic Strains: Moscow actively seeks to capitalize on perceived weaknesses or divisions within the alliance, particularly regarding the scale and reliability of U.S. support under shifting political dynamics in Washington.
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Risk Assessments and Current State of Confrontation
The risk of a full-scale conventional war between NATO and Russia remains low but catastrophic, while the immediate and growing danger lies in a “gray zone” or “shadow war” campaign.

The Escalating Shadow War
Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Eurasia Group note that as the conventional war in Ukraine continues (or even if it pauses), the conflict with NATO is shifting toward hybrid warfare.
Eurasia Group

CSIS data highlights that the number of Russian attacks in Europe nearly tripled between 2023 and 2024, continuing to rise. This escalating campaign of sabotage and subversion aims to impose costs on NATO for its support of Ukraine without triggering a conventional military response.
CSIS

Key Tactics Include:

Infrastructure Sabotage: Arson, explosives, and physical attacks targeting transportation, military bases, warehouses, and critical infrastructure.
CSIS

Electronic Warfare and Cyberattacks: Increasing use of electronic attacks and probes of airspace.
Eurasia Group

Disinformation and Subversion: Funding far-right extremist groups, election interference, and massive disinformation campaigns designed to exploit domestic societal divisions.
Eurasia Group

The Conventional Posture
While NATO seeks to avoid direct military confrontation, both sides are preparing for the worst-case scenario.

NATO Preparations: The alliance has stepped up military deterrence, conducting operations like Eastern Sentry, Baltic Sentry, and Arctic Sentry to protect strategic airspace and underwater infrastructure. However, analysts note significant capability gaps remain in air defense and long-range strikes.
russiancouncil.ru
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Russian Reconstitution: According to CSIS, Russia is adapting to a wartime economy, rapidly scaling the production of weapons proven in Ukraine, which creates an asymmetric threat to NATO’s defense industrial base.
CSIS

Predictions for 2026 and Beyond
Looking forward, analysts predict a period of intense instability and potential limited escalation.

A Limited Military Incursion: A key scenario explored by the Belfer Center suggests that within the next few years, Russia’s gray-zone campaign could culminate in a limited, fast-moving incursion into a NATO border state (such as the Baltics). Using unmarked proxies or unmanned systems, Moscow
…